From mboxrd@z Thu Jan 1 00:00:00 1970 Message-ID: <3EBB0067.6080903@ameritech.net> From: northern snowfall User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (X11; U; SunOS sun4u; en-US; rv:0.9.4.1) Gecko/20020518 Netscape6/6.2.3 MIME-Version: 1.0 To: 9fans@cse.psu.edu Subject: Re: [9fans] design clairvoyance & the 9 way References: <200305081726.h48HQ1525622@augusta.math.psu.edu> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Date: Thu, 8 May 2003 20:12:07 -0500 Topicbox-Message-UUID: a5782ff2-eacb-11e9-9e20-41e7f4b1d025 > > >All of that represents about 0% of the market. I'm not saying SMP is >bad, or that support for it should be abandoned, but one should >concentrate on where the biggest bang for the buck is. It's certainly >a valid question whether that's in the SMP arena, and it would be >intellectually dishonest to simply say, ``of course it is! Pixar uses >it!'' > It may represent 0% of the market today (check your figures), but, not in the near future. Besides, I'd rather be flexible enough to contract out to write the software for the 0% that will pay me 6 figures per hit, than concentrate on the other 99% of the market that will may me out 6 figures per year. Pixar was just an example of what a large group of people are actually becoming involved in. Think about how many animation groups alone are beginning to use the same techniques as Pixar. I think Lucas Light-and-whatever was actually using SMP clusters before Pixar. That may still be two examples, but, this is what trend analysis is all about. Looking at who is doing what, then, determining the most likely group of individuals to follow, and whether there is a market for it. If you want the biggest bang for the buck, it seems to me you should be looking towards future trends, not old ones. >