From mboxrd@z Thu Jan 1 00:00:00 1970 Message-ID: To: 9fans@cse.psu.edu Subject: Re: [9fans] datakit Date: Fri, 20 Aug 2004 09:51:14 -0700 From: Skip Tavakkolian <9nut@9netics.com> In-Reply-To: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Topicbox-Message-UUID: d7c4c16c-eacd-11e9-9e20-41e7f4b1d025 > more seriously, i observed the other day to someone that > the curious thing about the rise of complexity this time is > that as far as i can tell, there seems to be no significant > counter-culture to it, as there has been in times past. I think the rise will be short-lived; it has to. Nature doesn't like waste, and wont allow it indefinitely. Natural selection would dictate that those companies that use complex software will spend more time and resources managing the software rather than using it, and will be less profitable; they will eventually lose out to the more efficient organizations -- perhaps because they use less complex/more efficient software. The growth of hardware technology has obscured the issue of efficiency. It is cheaper to get the next generation of hardware, than it is to spend the time to prototype and perfect software up-front. Just throw more hardware at it. I doubt that can continue over the next twenty years.