I think development environments will follow the people onto their 
preferred platforms, and will change or adapt as necessary. So the kind 
of computing we are used to, with a "computer", may become more and more 
marginalized. Business will go where the numbers are, and what we think 
of as mainstream will become "retro" or "vintage". Most of my 
acquaintances who are 20 or 30 years younger than me, or my now-grown 
children, already think using a "computer" is kind of a "boomer" thing.

On 01/19/2023 03:29 PM, Rich Salz wrote:
>
>     What % of people running Chromebooks, Android or IOS
>     do any real programming on it? Even for laptops and
>     desktops that % is quite low. Most people run just a
>     few apps.
>
>
> So what.  How many people fix their own cars, TVs, etc.